Nothing But Bad News

Sometimes it seems as though the financial foundation of most homeowners is turning to sand, slipping away steadily since the Southern California market hit its peak in 2005-06.

 

But there are good reasons to believe that the market is nearing bottom:

  • All the gains since 2004 have already been wiped out, and in some places home prices are near mid-90s levels.

  • Many properties have hit levels at which people who have been priced out of the market for a decade or more are now jumping back in and buying great homes at mini-prices.

  • Many Realtors are reporting multiple offers on their well-priced listings.

  • Unlike many areas dependent on buyers of 2nd homes or on heavy-industry manufacturing, the Los Angeles Basin has a real economy that keeps churning no matter what happens in the rest of the nation, so there are always buyers.

 

News and Updates


Economic Bubbles: The Federal Reserve’s Manipulation Games

Never before, in our recent history, has there been as much concern about the state of our economy. Many Americans today are understandably apprehensive about their future and their eroding savings accounts.  This current recession is likely to be one of the worst in our country causing the most damage as the Baby Boomer generation is retiring.


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FDIC Faces Mortgage Mess After Running Failed Bank

Federal officials heap much of the blame for the subprime mortgage mess on lenders, claiming they recklessly made too many high-cost home loans to borrowers who couldn't afford them.


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A refi lifeline, with strings

After six months of haggling and political gamesmanship, a massive housing-relief bill is heading for final approval.


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A plan to jumpstart the mortgage market

A group representing the buyers and sellers of mortgage backed securities unveiled a plan on Wednesday to recharge the moribund mortgage market.


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Home prices post first monthly gain since fall

DataQuick’s final report on June homebuying seems to show renewed skittishness among Orange County shoppers, with sales falling from May and prices still at early 2004 levels.


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Fed stiffens restrictions on mortgage lenders

The nation's central bank clamped down hard Monday on mortgage lenders, issuing new rules designed to curb the kind of shady practices that led to the subprime mortgage crisis.


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IndyMac Reopens, Halts Foreclosures on Its Loans

IndyMac Bancorp Inc., the failed thrift, reopened its doors under federal control Monday and promptly moved to toss ailing homeowners a lifeline by halting all foreclosures on the mortgages it owns.


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Senate Passes Housing Legislation

The U.S. Senate passed an extensive package of housing legislation Friday, reacting to the continuing erosion of home prices and growing foreclosures by taking their most aggressive step yet to address the housing crisis.


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Housing Bill's Tax Credit Draws Criticism

U.S. lawmakers are touting a home-buyer tax credit in a high-profile housing bill before Congress, but critics say it may do little to help consumers amid the mortgage crisis.


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5.6% price cut seen as fix for O.C. housing

Real Estate Economics, homebuilder consultants from Irvine , have this to say about their latest version of their “Composite Market Opportunity/Risk (O/R) Index” for the O.C. housing market …


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California Senate passes mortgage default warning bill

The first major bill designed to help prevent more home foreclosures in California won final passage from the state Senate on Wednesday and was sent to the governor, who was expected to sign the measure into law.


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Rent/buy ratio for 46 metro areas

Real estate professionals often say it's always a good time to buy, but now Moody's Economy.com has come up with a formula that shows now may just be the time to consider buying in Orange County .


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U.S.-Backed Mortgage Program Fuels Risks

Mortgages that allow consumers to put little if any money down when buying a home have largely disappeared as a financing option available from private lenders. But they are still available -- and growing more popular -- through a government-backed program.


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What goes up must come down in housing

Economist Chris Thornberg said Southern California home prices likely will continue falling until mid-to-late 2009. When the dust settles, he added, homes here could end up being worth half as much as they were at the peak of the housing boom.


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Demand for O.C. homes hits nearly 3-year high

Market watcher Steve Thomas at Re/Max Real Estate Services in Aliso Viejo reports that shoppers’ demand for Orange County housing (as measured by homes placed into pending escrows in local brokers’ listing service within the past month) hit 3,060 Thursday – the highest since September 2005.


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Home prices dip below $500,000 in May

Orange County’s real estate bubble may finally be deflated, with the median selling price of an Orange County home back where it was four years ago: below the half million-dollar mark.
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Pending home sales rise in April

Pending home sales unexpectedly increased in April to the highest reading since October, an industry group said Monday, but they remain more than 13% below the year-earlier period.


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Housing Supply Declined in May

Total listings of homes in 29 metro areas at the end of May edged down 0.3% from a month earlier, according to figures compiled by ZipRealty Inc., a real-estate brokerage firm based in Emeryville , Calif. The data cover listings of single-family homes, condos and town houses on local multiple-listing services in those areas, where Zip operates. The inventory was up about 0.3% from May 2007 in 18 metro areas for which Zip has comparable year-earlier data.


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Rent or buy? O.C.’s purchasing math improves

Their answer is the rent/buy ratio which is determined by dividing the median price of a house by the cost of renting that house for a year. David Leonhardt at the New York Times — a longtime advocate of renting — became a convert to buying based on the ratio when he was reassigned to Washington, D.C. this year. The good news for Orange County is that the rent ratio in the first quarter was 22.2, down from a peak of 29.7.


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Home sales post unexpected April increase

Sales of new homes rose in April for the first time in six months, although the unexpected increase still left activity near the lowest level in 17 years.


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Declining-market surcharge dropped

Could the controversial mortgage industry practice of listing hundreds of local real estate markets as "declining" -- and restricting lending through higher down payments or credit scores -- be scrapped?


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The open house as a home-selling tool? No sale

Some home sellers view open houses as a right. If their agents balk at sitting in the living room for four or five hours on a nice spring Sunday afternoon waiting for prospects to come bouncing through the door, they feel cheated.


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Banks offer 20% off foreclosed homes in O.C.

ForeclosureRadar reports banks were willing to accept 21.5 percent less than what they were owed last month at homes sold during foreclosure auctions in Orange County . That’s a sea change from a year ago, when the average discount was 1.2 percent at trustee’s sales.


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Home Buyers, Start Your Engines

If you were thinking of buying a home, start looking.  The latest data from the housing market shows that sellers, after months and years in denial, are finally giving in to reality and slashing prices.


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The Housing Crisis Is Over

The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that Summer 2009 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.


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Housing market gains some ground in April

 Demand for Orange County housing continues to grow, according to real estate watcher Steve Thomas.

As of Thursday, 2,540 existing homes and condos had been placed in escrow in the past 30 days, a gain of 677 vs. a year ago and just 161 homes short of the reading in late April 2006.


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